Arbor Realty Trust Stock Forecast
Stronger technical forecast for Arbor Realty Trust stock price after Wednesday trading.
(Updated on May 01, 2024)
The Arbor Realty Trust stock price gained 1.09% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 1st May 2024), rising from $12.83 to $12.97. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.23% from a day low at $12.64 to a day high of $13.18. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 6.75% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 781 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $44.21 million.
The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Arbor Realty Trust stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $11.96 and $13.79 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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ABR Signals & Forecast
The Arbor Realty Trust stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $12.91 and $12.79. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 23, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.74%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Arbor Realty Trust stock
Arbor Realty Trust finds support from accumulated volume at $12.85 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.535 between high and low, or 4.23%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.78%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $12.41 (-4.31%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 6 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ABR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 2nd we expect Arbor Realty Trust to open at $12.93, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $12.60 and $13.34, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.373 (+/-2.87%) up or down from last closing price. If Arbor Realty Trust takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.75% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $13.02 (0.39%) than the support at $12.85 (0.93%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
Arbor Realty Trust will release earnings BMO on Friday, May 03, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.450. We will update the financials statements for Arbor Realty Trust, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 5.06% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Arbor Realty Trust stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for Arbor Realty Trust stock to perform well in the short-term period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.127 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Arbor Realty Trust of Thursday, May 2, 2024
| Fair opening price May 2, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $12.93 ( 0.321%) | $12.97 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ABR
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 13.46 | 3.80 % | |
| R2 | 13.26 | 2.23 % | ||
| R1 | 13.13 | 1.25 % | ||
| Current price: | 12.97 | |||
| Support | S1 | 12.72 | -1.90 % | |
| S2 | 12.60 | -2.87 % | ||
| S3 | 12.39 | -4.45 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 13.99 | 7.86 % | |
| R2 | 13.12 | 1.16 % | ||
| R1 | 13.02 | 0.386 % | ||
| Current price | 12.97 | |||
| Support | S1 | 12.85 | -0.93% | |
| S2 | 12.74 | -1.77% | ||
| S3 | 12.25 | -5.55% |
ABR Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 16, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | Mar 15, 2024 | $0.430 | 3.32% |
| 2 | Nov 16, 2023 | Nov 16, 2023 | Nov 30, 2023 | $0.430 | 3.45% |
| 3 | Jul 28, 2023 | Aug 14, 2023 | Aug 31, 2023 | $0.430 | 2.69% |
| 4 | May 05, 2023 | May 18, 2023 | Aug 31, 2023 | $0.420 | 2.63% |
| 5 | Feb 17, 2023 | Mar 10, 2023 | Mar 17, 2023 | $0.400 | 3.57% |
FAQ
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